Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2.023069 2.313502 2.632353 3.008615 3.440825 3.922160 4.499429
2025-07-20 1.564933 1.952868 2.418369 3.019190 3.775850 4.699445 5.915934
2025-07-27 1.351103 1.789439 2.348373 3.115632 4.145296 5.484735 7.368292
2025-08-03 1.167778 1.623020 2.232844 3.113056 4.357316 6.062725 8.593931
2025-08-10 1.022581 1.481348 2.122534 3.089046 4.518239 6.568148 9.757444
2025-08-17 0.899474 1.351739 2.008090 3.036406 4.619354 6.983976 10.821899
2025-08-24 0.826360 1.284569 1.973035 3.090877 4.876961 7.647726 12.325767
2025-08-31 0.763204 1.223957 1.938786 3.138426 5.122609 8.310681 13.894931
2025-09-07 0.694872 1.146824 1.869020 3.118610 5.252632 8.795033 15.215986
2025-09-14 0.628626 1.065575 1.783275 3.061002 5.309391 9.157384 16.360232
2025-09-21 0.575772 1.001030 1.718015 3.029575 5.404321 9.588873 17.666676
2025-09-28 0.525485 0.935684 1.644537 2.974916 5.449736 9.933003 18.844639
2025-10-05 0.511250 0.936630 1.693658 3.158717 5.973789 11.245711 22.100923
2025-10-12 0.471745 0.888260 1.650814 3.170934 6.184772 12.013674 24.434043
2025-10-19 0.448544 0.867319 1.655397 3.272347 6.577627 13.174551 27.711220
2025-10-26 0.415196 0.822954 1.610232 3.269640 6.760115 13.935306 30.253041
2025-11-02 0.383022 0.777285 1.557345 3.244379 6.891392 14.603430 32.681851
2025-11-09 0.351223 0.728910 1.493763 3.188998 6.950797 15.123825 34.848192
2025-11-16 0.333490 0.707806 1.483709 3.246305 7.261718 16.226804 38.507022
2025-11-23 0.316597 0.686650 1.471178 3.296332 7.561489 17.339463 42.343634
2025-11-30 0.295222 0.653495 1.429358 3.275483 7.694962 18.084242 45.382652
2025-12-07 0.272710 0.615517 1.373081 3.214874 7.726884 18.591824 47.893727
2025-12-14 0.254301 0.585017 1.330539 3.181810 7.821225 19.260981 50.917656